Union Edelweiß vs St. Martin im Muhlreis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.9%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.1%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.3%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.8%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
39.3%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.7%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-38%
-13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
45
2º
10º
8º
49
1º
13º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
67 | 67 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 55 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
52 | 52 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 49 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
49 | 49 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
48 | 48 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
45 | 45 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
|
8º
|
45 | 45 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
44 | 44 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
44 | 44 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
41 | 41 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
36 | 36 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
36 | 36 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
33 | 33 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
24 | 24 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
10 | 10 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Union Edelweiß
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2024 |
SBL
1 - 0
UNI
21%
20%
59%
|
29 | 19 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2024 |
UNI
3 - 2
SVF
47%
21%
32%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2024 |
BAD
0 - 1
UNI
57%
20%
23%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
UNI
4 - 2
SPG
56%
21%
23%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
OED
4 - 0
UNI
86%
9%
4%
|
27 | 46 | 19 | -1 |
Matches
St. Martin im Muhlreis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2024 |
STM
3 - 3
SVZ
55%
21%
25%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2024 |
OST
2 - 2
STM
34%
22%
45%
|
32 | 25 | 7 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
STM
4 - 1
GRU
53%
22%
25%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | +2 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
STM
3 - 1
SBL
76%
14%
10%
|
30 | 19 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
SVF
3 - 0
STM
33%
21%
46%
|
32 | 25 | 7 | -2 |