Union Deportiva Usera vs Real Aranjuez CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.6%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.1%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.6%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.7%
34.7%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+52%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Union Deportiva Usera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
CDV
0 - 0
UNI
57%
21%
22%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
UNI
3 - 1
MOB
66%
18%
16%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
CDE
1 - 0
UNI
62%
20%
18%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
UNI
1 - 1
NAV
53%
21%
27%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
PAR
1 - 1
UNI
64%
19%
17%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Real Aranjuez CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
ARA
3 - 1
CDF
59%
21%
20%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
SAR
1 - 4
ARA
37%
23%
39%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
ARA
3 - 1
CMP
46%
24%
30%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
YEB
0 - 1
ARA
26%
22%
52%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
ARA
2 - 1
IVA
41%
24%
35%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | +1 |