Unión Comercio vs Universitario Deportes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.1%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12%
1-0
12%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
31.3%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Unión Comercio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
MEL
1 - 0
COM
57%
24%
19%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
COM
3 - 0
UTC
50%
26%
25%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
COM
3 - 1
SAN
50%
26%
24%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2014 |
LOS
1 - 0
COM
47%
27%
26%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
CIE
2 - 1
COM
47%
26%
27%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Universitario Deportes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
UNI
1 - 0
LOS
46%
28%
26%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2014 |
SPC
3 - 0
UNI
60%
22%
18%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
UNI
2 - 0
CIE
50%
27%
23%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
HUA
0 - 1
UNI
41%
26%
33%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
AUR
2 - 0
UNI
64%
21%
16%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | -1 |