Apertura Peru Round 16

Unión Comercio vs Cusco FC analysis

Unión Comercio Cusco FC
65 ELO 73
11% Tilt -3.7%
2580º General ELO ranking 724º
21º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
33.3%
Unión Comercio
26.1%
Draw
40.6%
Cusco FC

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.3%
Win probability
Unión Comercio
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.5%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.1%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
40.6%
Win probability
Cusco FC
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
7%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Unión Comercio
+18%
+19%
Cusco FC

ELO progression

Unión Comercio
Cusco FC
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Unión Comercio
Unión Comercio
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
28 May. 2019
HUA
Sport Huancayo
3 - 1
Unión Comercio
COM
53%
25%
23%
67 68 1 0
18 May. 2019
COM
Unión Comercio
4 - 0
UTC Cajamarca
UTC
41%
26%
33%
65 70 5 +2
11 May. 2019
BIN
Deportivo Binacional
3 - 1
Unión Comercio
COM
69%
20%
11%
66 72 6 -1
04 May. 2019
COM
Unión Comercio
0 - 1
Ayacucho FC
AYA
46%
25%
30%
66 67 1 0
28 Apr. 2019
AUN
Alianza Universidad
2 - 2
Unión Comercio
COM
50%
26%
25%
66 66 0 0

Matches

Cusco FC
Cusco FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
24 May. 2019
UTC
UTC Cajamarca
3 - 2
Cusco FC
GAR
32%
28%
41%
74 69 5 0
18 May. 2019
GAR
Cusco FC
3 - 0
Ayacucho FC
AYA
55%
23%
22%
73 67 6 +1
12 May. 2019
MUN
Deportivo Municipal
1 - 1
Cusco FC
GAR
36%
27%
37%
73 69 4 0
06 May. 2019
GAR
Cusco FC
2 - 2
Academia Cantolao
CAN
60%
23%
17%
73 66 7 0
28 Apr. 2019
VAL
Univ. César Vallejo
1 - 0
Cusco FC
GAR
44%
25%
31%
73 70 3 0