Unión Comercio vs Juan Aurich Chiclayo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.3%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
7%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.5%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
33.7%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Unión Comercio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2014 |
SAM
2 - 1
COM
49%
26%
25%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
COM
2 - 2
GAR
48%
27%
25%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
AYA
1 - 2
COM
47%
26%
27%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2014 |
COM
2 - 0
UNI
41%
28%
31%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | +2 |
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
MEL
1 - 0
COM
57%
24%
19%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Juan Aurich Chiclayo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2014 |
AUR
0 - 0
LOS
68%
19%
12%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2014 |
SPC
4 - 1
AUR
54%
24%
23%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2014 |
AUR
1 - 0
CIE
70%
18%
12%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2014 |
HUA
0 - 1
AUR
32%
26%
42%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
AUR
0 - 0
ALI
58%
23%
19%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | -1 |