Apertura Peru Apertura Round 11

Unión Comercio vs Ayacucho FC analysis

Unión Comercio Ayacucho FC
65 ELO 64
10.4% Tilt -5.3%
2380º General ELO ranking 3181º
23º Country ELO ranking 27º
ELO win probability
49.3%
Unión Comercio
24.8%
Draw
25.9%
Ayacucho FC

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.3%
Win probability
Unión Comercio
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
25.9%
Win probability
Ayacucho FC
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

Unión Comercio
Ayacucho FC
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Unión Comercio
Unión Comercio
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
16 Jul. 2017
MEL
FBC Melgar
2 - 1
Unión Comercio
COM
57%
24%
19%
65 70 5 0
09 Jul. 2017
COM
Unión Comercio
0 - 1
Alianza Lima
ALI
39%
28%
33%
65 73 8 0
04 Jul. 2017
GAR
Cusco FC
2 - 1
Unión Comercio
COM
58%
24%
18%
66 71 5 -1
01 Jul. 2017
COM
Unión Comercio
3 - 1
Univ. San Martín
SAM
44%
25%
31%
65 67 2 +1
26 Jun. 2017
COM
Comerciantes Unidos
2 - 0
Unión Comercio
COM
59%
22%
19%
66 68 2 -1

Matches

Ayacucho FC
Ayacucho FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
15 Jul. 2017
AYA
Ayacucho FC
0 - 0
Academia Cantolao
CAN
54%
24%
22%
65 64 1 0
10 Jul. 2017
UTC
UTC Cajamarca
3 - 0
Ayacucho FC
AYA
52%
25%
23%
66 69 3 -1
06 Jul. 2017
AYA
Ayacucho FC
0 - 1
Sport Rosario
SRP
42%
28%
30%
66 73 7 0
02 Jul. 2017
SPC
Sporting Cristal
2 - 0
Ayacucho FC
AYA
53%
24%
23%
67 69 2 -1
24 Jun. 2017
AYA
Ayacucho FC
3 - 1
Juan Aurich Chiclayo
AUR
55%
23%
23%
66 63 3 +1