Unión Comercio vs Ayacucho FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.3%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
23%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Unión Comercio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
COM
4 - 2
SPO
55%
23%
22%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
COM
3 - 0
CIE
56%
24%
20%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2014 |
COM
1 - 0
ALI
38%
28%
34%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
SPC
2 - 3
COM
71%
18%
11%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2014 |
LEO
2 - 0
COM
43%
28%
29%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Ayacucho FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2015 |
AYA
1 - 2
HUA
54%
22%
24%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
AYA
5 - 2
LEO
47%
25%
27%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2014 |
SAM
2 - 1
AYA
46%
26%
28%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
VAL
3 - 0
AYA
55%
24%
21%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
AYA
3 - 1
AUR
40%
26%
34%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | +1 |