Unión Comercio vs Alianza Lima analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.9%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
28%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28%
34%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Unión Comercio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
SPC
2 - 3
COM
71%
18%
11%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2014 |
LEO
2 - 0
COM
43%
28%
29%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
COM
2 - 1
VAL
41%
27%
32%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
HUA
2 - 1
COM
44%
26%
30%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
COM
1 - 0
AUR
39%
27%
34%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Alianza Lima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
ALI
2 - 0
UTC
63%
23%
14%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2014 |
SPC
3 - 2
ALI
58%
23%
20%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2014 |
ALI
3 - 1
LOS
59%
25%
17%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
ALI
5 - 0
CIE
57%
25%
18%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
HUA
0 - 1
ALI
38%
27%
35%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | -1 |