Unión Carrizal vs Estrella analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
5.7%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.6%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.1%
1-0
2%
2-1
1.8%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
4.4%
12%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
12%
82.3%
Win probability
2.79
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
12.9%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
22.1%
0-3
12%
1-4
5.2%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
18.1%
0-4
8.4%
1-5
2.9%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
11.7%
0-5
4.7%
1-6
1.3%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
6.2%
0-6
2.2%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.8%
0-7
0.9%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
1.1%
0-8
0.3%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.4%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-79%
+53%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Unión Carrizal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2022 |
TAR
3 - 2
UCA
64%
18%
17%
|
10 | 12 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2022 |
UDG
2 - 1
UCA
83%
12%
5%
|
10 | 20 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2022 |
UCA
1 - 0
LON
44%
22%
34%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2022 |
UCA
0 - 5
BLP
8%
14%
78%
|
10 | 21 | 11 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2022 |
BAR
2 - 0
UCA
42%
23%
36%
|
11 | 10 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Estrella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2022 |
EST
2 - 1
COT
36%
25%
39%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2022 |
DPV
0 - 0
EST
8%
13%
79%
|
22 | 11 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2022 |
TAR
2 - 2
EST
7%
13%
80%
|
23 | 11 | 12 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2022 |
EST
3 - 0
VLS
78%
14%
8%
|
22 | 14 | 8 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2022 |
BLP
2 - 1
EST
31%
22%
47%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | -1 |