Unión Carrizal vs CD Ingenio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11.3%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.5%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
3.3%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.1%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.9%
70.8%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.8%
0-2
12.4%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.2%
0-3
9.2%
1-4
4%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14%
0-4
5.2%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
7.2%
0-5
2.3%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.1%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-82%
+200%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Unión Carrizal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2025 |
SPM
3 - 2
UCA
81%
12%
7%
|
14 | 26 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2025 |
UCA
1 - 2
CAS
9%
15%
76%
|
14 | 27 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2025 |
ICO
2 - 2
UCA
72%
15%
13%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2025 |
UCA
2 - 2
AGU
74%
15%
11%
|
14 | 9 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2025 |
CDT
2 - 1
UCA
53%
21%
27%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
CD Ingenio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2025 |
ING
5 - 1
CER
85%
10%
5%
|
29 | 14 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2025 |
LON
1 - 0
ING
40%
22%
38%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2025 |
SLU
0 - 9
ING
9%
16%
75%
|
29 | 7 | 22 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 2025 |
ING
2 - 0
SPM
50%
21%
29%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | +2 |
| 07 Mar. 2025 |
CAS
1 - 3
ING
62%
19%
19%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | +1 |