Union Carrascal vs Sporting Bazan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.7%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.2%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.5%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.7%
46.5%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
14%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
7.4%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+68%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Union Carrascal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
ATL
2 - 0
UCA
48%
21%
32%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
UCA
1 - 1
NCD
70%
17%
14%
|
15 | 12 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2024 |
LAB
4 - 1
UCA
56%
20%
24%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
UCA
4 - 1
FUE
86%
9%
5%
|
16 | 7 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
RAY
0 - 0
UCA
30%
20%
50%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting Bazan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
LEG
1 - 6
SPB
76%
14%
11%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
SPB
1 - 1
ATL
43%
21%
36%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2024 |
SPB
0 - 1
LIB
48%
22%
30%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
NCD
1 - 4
SPB
45%
22%
33%
|
15 | 14 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
SPB
3 - 2
ALC
28%
22%
50%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | +1 |