Union Carrascal vs La Mutual Juan XXIII analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.8%
Win probability
2.7
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.9%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.5%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.1%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.2%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.8%
15.4%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.4%
11.8%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
-34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Union Carrascal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2025 |
NUE
4 - 0
UCA
8%
13%
79%
|
21 | 10 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2025 |
UCA
3 - 0
TDC
85%
10%
5%
|
21 | 11 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2025 |
ATZ
1 - 4
UCA
7%
12%
81%
|
21 | 9 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2025 |
UCA
3 - 0
ATL
79%
13%
8%
|
20 | 13 | 7 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2025 |
SPH
1 - 3
UCA
16%
19%
65%
|
20 | 14 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
La Mutual Juan XXIII
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2025 |
LMJ
1 - 2
MAA
22%
21%
57%
|
15 | 20 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2025 |
CEP
0 - 2
LMJ
63%
18%
19%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2025 |
LMJ
2 - 1
FOB
16%
19%
65%
|
12 | 19 | 7 | +2 |
| 02 Mar. 2025 |
LMJ
1 - 2
NUE
61%
20%
19%
|
13 | 10 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2025 |
TDC
1 - 0
LMJ
29%
22%
49%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | -1 |