Union Carrascal vs Centella analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.5%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.9%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.4%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.9%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
16.2%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
16.2%
11.3%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Union Carrascal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
EMV
1 - 0
UCA
38%
23%
40%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
UCA
1 - 0
ADL
72%
16%
13%
|
13 | 10 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
LEG
4 - 3
UCA
55%
19%
25%
|
14 | 15 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2017 |
UCA
5 - 0
SSM
73%
16%
11%
|
13 | 9 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
SPB
1 - 4
UCA
49%
20%
31%
|
12 | 12 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Centella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
CEN
0 - 1
CDC
58%
21%
22%
|
8 | 7 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
FSC
3 - 1
CEN
44%
23%
34%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
CEN
0 - 2
SJZ
52%
22%
26%
|
10 | 11 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2017 |
ATZ
2 - 4
CEN
58%
20%
23%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
CEN
3 - 0
APB
45%
23%
32%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | +2 |