Conmebol Sudamericana . Last 16
Global 3-3
Unión La Calera vs Junior analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.6%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.4%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.7%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
37.8%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Unión La Calera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2020 |
JUN
2 - 1
ULC
48%
28%
24%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2020 |
COQ
1 - 2
ULC
35%
27%
38%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2020 |
ULC
1 - 0
UCH
36%
26%
38%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2020 |
UNI
3 - 2
ULC
48%
25%
27%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2020 |
TOL
1 - 1
ULC
56%
25%
18%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Junior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2020 |
TOL
0 - 1
JUN
45%
26%
29%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2020 |
JUN
2 - 1
ULC
48%
28%
24%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2020 |
JUN
1 - 0
TOL
38%
28%
34%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 2020 |
ENV
3 - 3
JUN
30%
27%
43%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2020 |
JUN
3 - 0
CHI
66%
23%
12%
|
79 | 62 | 17 | 0 |