Union Bremen vs Werder Bremen II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.3%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.6%
1-0
3.3%
2-1
3.3%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.9%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.8%
71.9%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.7%
0-2
11.3%
1-3
7.6%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21.1%
0-3
9%
1-4
4.5%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.6%
0-4
5.4%
1-5
2.2%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
8%
0-5
2.6%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
3.6%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.4%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+57%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
42
6º
13º
8º
90
1º
1º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
90 | 90 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
68 | 68 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
61 | 61 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 47 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 39 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 33 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
32 | 32 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
32 | 32 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
29 | 29 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
19 | 19 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Union Bremen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2023 |
OBE
2 - 1
UNI
74%
14%
12%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
UNI
4 - 3
WOL
66%
17%
16%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | +2 |
| 16 Aug. 2023 |
UNI
1 - 1
OSC
32%
21%
47%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
GEE
4 - 1
UNI
43%
21%
36%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | -3 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
WOL
2 - 4
UNI
37%
22%
42%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | +2 |
Matches
Werder Bremen II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
OSC
1 - 5
WER
17%
20%
63%
|
44 | 34 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
SGA
1 - 5
WER
30%
23%
47%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | +1 |
| 15 Aug. 2023 |
WER
14 - 1
BRI
67%
19%
14%
|
42 | 31 | 11 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2023 |
VAT
2 - 7
WER
8%
13%
79%
|
41 | 19 | 22 | +1 |
| 27 May. 2023 |
FCP
3 - 2
WER
55%
22%
23%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | -1 |