Union Bremen vs Vahr-Blockdiek analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.6%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
4%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.4%
1-0
5%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.5%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
8%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.5%
27.9%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-35%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
42
6º
13º
8º
33
9º
15º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
90 | 90 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
68 | 68 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
61 | 61 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 47 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 39 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 33 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
32 | 32 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
32 | 32 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
29 | 29 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
19 | 19 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Union Bremen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2024 |
UNI
1 - 3
TRB
46%
21%
33%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2024 |
WER
7 - 0
UNI
87%
9%
4%
|
28 | 53 | 25 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
UNI
3 - 3
OBE
18%
17%
66%
|
27 | 39 | 12 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
WOL
2 - 3
UNI
51%
21%
29%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
OSC
2 - 0
UNI
75%
15%
11%
|
26 | 39 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Vahr-Blockdiek
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
SGA
5 - 1
VAB
74%
14%
12%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
VAB
2 - 1
VAT
49%
21%
30%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
BRI
3 - 0
VAB
23%
20%
57%
|
30 | 19 | 11 | -4 |
| 09 Feb. 2024 |
VAB
2 - 0
BTN
52%
21%
27%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | +3 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
BLU
4 - 1
VAB
40%
22%
39%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | -3 |