Union Berlin U19 vs St. Pauli U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.4%
Win probability
2.58
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.6%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.6%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.5%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
17.1%
15.6%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-17%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
2º
7º
2º
15
3º
7º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
31 | 31 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
26 | 27 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
22 | 23 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
19 | 19 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
18 | 18 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
15 | 15 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
12 | 12 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
10 | 10 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Union Berlin U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
HOL
1 - 2
UBE
15%
18%
68%
|
29 | 16 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
BAK
2 - 5
UBE
33%
21%
46%
|
29 | 22 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
UBE
0 - 2
WOL
31%
22%
47%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
UBE
4 - 1
HAM
45%
22%
34%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | +2 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
HAN
2 - 7
UBE
30%
22%
48%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
St. Pauli U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
PAU
2 - 3
HAN
50%
22%
28%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
HOL
1 - 1
PAU
21%
19%
61%
|
22 | 16 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2024 |
HAM
3 - 0
PAU
63%
18%
19%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
WOL
1 - 1
PAU
81%
12%
7%
|
22 | 37 | 15 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
PAU
3 - 1
FCM
61%
20%
19%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | 0 |