Falcon vs Unión Lara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.4%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.3%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.7%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
50%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.2%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Falcon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2014 |
POR
1 - 0
FAL
55%
23%
22%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2014 |
FAL
2 - 0
ANG
56%
24%
21%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2014 |
UCV
0 - 4
FAL
24%
24%
52%
|
48 | 33 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
FAL
0 - 2
GVA
51%
25%
24%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
GUA
0 - 1
FAL
39%
26%
35%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Unión Lara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2014 |
ULA
0 - 1
MON
64%
20%
16%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2007 |
BAR
5 - 2
ULA
41%
24%
35%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |