Venezuela Second Division Apertura Round 1

Falcon vs Unión Lara analysis

Falcon Unión Lara
49 ELO 61
-13.2% Tilt -0.5%
22474º General ELO ranking 24122º
63º Country ELO ranking 68º
ELO win probability
24.4%
Falcon
25.6%
Draw
50%
Unión Lara

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.4%
Win probability
Falcon
0.99
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.3%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.7%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
50%
Win probability
Unión Lara
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.2%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

Falcon
Unión Lara
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Falcon
Falcon
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
24 May. 2014
POR
Portuguesa FC
1 - 0
Falcon
FAL
55%
23%
22%
49 52 3 0
17 May. 2014
FAL
Falcon
2 - 0
Angostura
ANG
56%
24%
21%
48 43 5 +1
10 May. 2014
UCV
UCV
0 - 4
Falcon
FAL
24%
24%
52%
48 33 15 0
04 May. 2014
FAL
Falcon
0 - 2
Gran Valencia
GVA
51%
25%
24%
49 46 3 -1
26 Apr. 2014
GUA
Guatire
0 - 1
Falcon
FAL
39%
26%
35%
48 46 2 +1

Matches

Unión Lara
Unión Lara
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 Aug. 2014
ULA
Unión Lara
0 - 1
Monagas
MON
64%
20%
16%
61 54 7 0
09 Sep. 2007
BAR
Baralt FC
5 - 2
Unión Lara
ULA
41%
24%
35%
61 57 4 0