Union de Aravaca vs AD Esperanza B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.7%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.9%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.7%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.9%
16.3%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.3%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Union de Aravaca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
RUP
1 - 1
UAR
81%
11%
7%
|
13 | 21 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
UAR
5 - 1
CAO
37%
22%
41%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
VDB
0 - 0
UAR
69%
16%
15%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
UAR
2 - 3
SMA
67%
17%
16%
|
13 | 10 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
CRG
0 - 3
UAR
42%
23%
35%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | +2 |
Matches
AD Esperanza B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
ADE
0 - 0
CHA
56%
19%
25%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
TRN
2 - 2
ADE
87%
8%
4%
|
11 | 19 | 8 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
ADE
1 - 3
OSA
55%
20%
25%
|
12 | 12 | 0 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
ADE
4 - 2
CDO
54%
19%
27%
|
11 | 10 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
RUP
2 - 0
ADE
86%
9%
5%
|
12 | 21 | 9 | -1 |