União São João vs Santacruzense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.9%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.9%
18.1%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+99%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
União São João
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2012 |
SAO
4 - 2
UNI
48%
24%
28%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2012 |
AUD
0 - 2
UNI
68%
18%
14%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2012 |
UNI
2 - 3
MON
53%
23%
24%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2012 |
UNI
2 - 0
UNI
37%
25%
38%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
GRÊ
1 - 1
UNI
63%
21%
16%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Santacruzense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
SAN
1 - 2
RBB
24%
24%
52%
|
50 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2012 |
SAN
1 - 0
SAN
76%
15%
9%
|
50 | 64 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
SAN
0 - 0
VEL
33%
24%
42%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2012 |
FER
2 - 1
SAN
52%
24%
24%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
SAO
0 - 0
SAN
61%
21%
18%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | +1 |