União São João vs Grêmio Sãocarlense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.7%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.5%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.1%
15.3%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
União São João
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 2023 |
UNI
0 - 0
MOG
80%
13%
7%
|
54 | 27 | 27 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
SAO
1 - 3
UNI
12%
18%
71%
|
54 | 31 | 23 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2023 |
UNI
1 - 1
IND
76%
15%
9%
|
54 | 41 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2023 |
UNI
2 - 4
ECN
74%
16%
10%
|
55 | 41 | 14 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
GDS
0 - 0
UNI
17%
21%
62%
|
55 | 44 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Grêmio Sãocarlense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jun. 2023 |
GDS
2 - 0
SAO
62%
22%
16%
|
46 | 31 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2023 |
IND
0 - 1
GDS
34%
25%
42%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 May. 2023 |
GDS
1 - 1
ECN
42%
25%
33%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2023 |
MOG
0 - 2
GDS
25%
21%
54%
|
44 | 29 | 15 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
GDS
0 - 0
UNI
17%
21%
62%
|
44 | 55 | 11 | 0 |