União São João vs Caxias do Sul analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.9%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.7%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
23.3%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
União São João
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2001 |
CRI
2 - 0
UNI
68%
19%
12%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2001 |
UNI
6 - 1
XVD
53%
24%
24%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2001 |
UNI
2 - 0
AVA
36%
27%
37%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | +2 |
| 29 Aug. 2001 |
SER
1 - 2
UNI
23%
25%
52%
|
63 | 51 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2001 |
UNI
1 - 2
JMA
73%
17%
10%
|
64 | 53 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Caxias do Sul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2001 |
CAX
2 - 1
FER
58%
23%
19%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2001 |
CAX
5 - 1
BRA
27%
24%
48%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | +2 |
| 02 Sep. 2001 |
CRI
0 - 2
CAX
81%
14%
6%
|
60 | 77 | 17 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2001 |
CAX
3 - 1
VIL
42%
25%
33%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2001 |
SER
1 - 1
CAX
35%
25%
39%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | 0 |