União Santarém vs Marinhense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.8%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
18.5%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
48
2º
11º
2º
41
1º
10º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
48 | 52 |
1º
|
53% | |
|
|
1º
|
48 | 51 |
2º
|
33% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 51 |
3º
|
22.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
41 | 44 |
4º
|
75.5% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 43 |
5º
|
60.5% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 40 |
6º
|
50.5% | |
|
6º
|
38 | 39 |
7º
|
36.5% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 39 |
8º
|
57% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 34 |
9º
|
80.5% | |
|
10º
|
27 | 31 |
10º
|
60.5% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 28 |
11º
|
78% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 19 |
12º
|
65.5% | |
|
14º
|
6 | 17 |
13º
|
50% | |
|
13º
|
11 | 12 |
14º
|
84.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
37% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
63% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
União Santarém
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
1DE
0 - 0
USA
29%
29%
42%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
USA
4 - 1
MOR
59%
22%
19%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
UDA
1 - 2
USA
34%
26%
40%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
USA
2 - 0
SER
44%
27%
29%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | +2 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
ALC
1 - 2
USA
11%
20%
69%
|
43 | 23 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Marinhense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
MAR
1 - 2
BEN
46%
28%
27%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
MAR
3 - 1
SAB
69%
18%
13%
|
43 | 30 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
MAR
2 - 0
1DE
37%
27%
36%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | +2 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
MOR
2 - 2
MAR
37%
29%
34%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
MAR
1 - 0
UDA
46%
26%
28%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | 0 |