União Santarém vs Caldas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.3%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
3%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.7%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
55.6%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
17%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.3%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
União Santarém
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
FAT
3 - 3
USA
81%
12%
7%
|
29 | 43 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2020 |
USA
1 - 1
BMA
9%
18%
73%
|
28 | 53 | 25 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 2020 |
RDA
1 - 1
USA
75%
15%
9%
|
28 | 44 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2020 |
GDF
1 - 1
USA
62%
19%
19%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Jan. 2020 |
USA
1 - 0
ANA
9%
18%
73%
|
22 | 49 | 27 | +5 |
Matches
Caldas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
GDF
1 - 1
CAL
24%
22%
54%
|
44 | 30 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
CAL
2 - 0
RDA
41%
28%
31%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | +2 |
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
FAT
1 - 2
CAL
61%
22%
17%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Jan. 2020 |
MAR
1 - 1
CAL
45%
26%
28%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2020 |
CAL
1 - 1
BMA
14%
22%
64%
|
41 | 54 | 13 | 0 |