União RS vs São Paulo RS analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.1%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.1%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
26%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-48%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
União RS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 2011 |
ECA
2 - 2
URS
63%
21%
16%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2011 |
URS
2 - 2
BRA
29%
24%
47%
|
36 | 46 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2011 |
URS
1 - 1
BRA
26%
24%
50%
|
35 | 48 | 13 | +1 |
| 22 May. 2011 |
SAO
1 - 1
URS
54%
22%
24%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2011 |
BRA
2 - 3
URS
66%
20%
14%
|
34 | 45 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
São Paulo RS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 2011 |
SAO
0 - 1
BRA
32%
26%
43%
|
36 | 48 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2011 |
BRA
3 - 0
SAO
57%
23%
21%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | -1 |
| 27 May. 2011 |
SAO
1 - 1
ECA
35%
25%
40%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2011 |
SAO
1 - 1
URS
54%
22%
24%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2011 |
BRA
1 - 1
SAO
57%
24%
19%
|
37 | 50 | 13 | 0 |