União RS vs Caxias do Sul analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.3%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.2%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.3%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.7%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
39.3%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.4%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
União RS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2016 |
TUP
3 - 2
URS
40%
25%
35%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
SAN
0 - 1
URS
26%
26%
48%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2016 |
URS
2 - 2
ESP
41%
27%
32%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
PAN
0 - 2
URS
32%
25%
43%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2016 |
SLU
3 - 1
URS
46%
26%
28%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Caxias do Sul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2016 |
CAX
1 - 0
ESP
57%
24%
20%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
PAN
1 - 1
CAX
22%
26%
52%
|
51 | 35 | 16 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2016 |
CAX
3 - 1
SLU
52%
25%
24%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
MFC
1 - 1
CAX
18%
23%
59%
|
50 | 30 | 20 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2016 |
CAX
7 - 0
SAN
67%
21%
12%
|
50 | 39 | 11 | 0 |