União RS vs Brasil Farroupilha analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.2%
1-0
8%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
37.2%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-49%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
União RS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2012 |
GLO
2 - 1
URS
53%
23%
24%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2012 |
URS
2 - 1
SAN
51%
24%
25%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2012 |
PAN
1 - 3
URS
36%
25%
40%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
URS
2 - 1
PAN
51%
22%
27%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2012 |
SAN
3 - 2
URS
45%
25%
30%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Brasil Farroupilha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
BRA
3 - 0
JAC
62%
21%
17%
|
47 | 37 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2012 |
ECM
1 - 2
BRA
24%
23%
53%
|
46 | 31 | 15 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2012 |
BRA
2 - 2
SAP
61%
22%
17%
|
46 | 35 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
SAP
0 - 1
BRA
32%
26%
42%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2012 |
BRA
1 - 0
ECM
70%
18%
11%
|
46 | 31 | 15 | 0 |