Série D Brazil Final round Last 16
Global 0-4
União Rondonópolis vs Caxias do Sul analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.4%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.3%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.9%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.5%
30%
Draw
0-0
12.6%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
30%
39.6%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
14.2%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
11.2%
0-3
3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
União Rondonópolis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
CAX
2 - 0
URO
57%
24%
19%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
BOA
1 - 1
URO
58%
24%
18%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
URO
2 - 0
BOA
27%
29%
44%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
POR
0 - 2
URO
36%
26%
38%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
URO
0 - 1
GOI
35%
27%
38%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Caxias do Sul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
CAX
2 - 0
URO
57%
24%
19%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
POR
1 - 0
CAX
57%
26%
17%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
CAX
1 - 0
POR
31%
29%
41%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
CAX
1 - 1
JUV
54%
25%
21%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2021 |
RIO
1 - 2
CAX
27%
28%
45%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | +1 |