URT vs Minas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.1%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.5%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.3%
12.6%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
URT
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2013 |
DEM
2 - 2
URT
53%
23%
24%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
UBE
1 - 2
URT
61%
21%
18%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | +2 |
| 31 Mar. 2013 |
URT
1 - 1
MAM
50%
24%
26%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2013 |
URT
2 - 0
DEM
58%
22%
21%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
USC
1 - 3
URT
50%
24%
26%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Minas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
MIN
0 - 2
PAT
29%
24%
47%
|
36 | 46 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
DEM
3 - 1
MIN
71%
17%
11%
|
37 | 50 | 13 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
MIN
1 - 1
16%
21%
64%
|
36 | 59 | 23 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2013 |
SOC
1 - 2
MIN
58%
23%
19%
|
35 | 44 | 9 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
MIN
4 - 2
TRI
30%
23%
48%
|
32 | 43 | 11 | +3 |