Paulista B First Stage Round 7

União Mogi vs Manthiqueira analysis

União Mogi Manthiqueira
20 ELO 19
-6.8% Tilt -3.2%
12256º General ELO ranking 12970º
459º Country ELO ranking 473º
ELO win probability
49.6%
União Mogi
23.1%
Draw
27.3%
Manthiqueira

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.6%
Win probability
União Mogi
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.7%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
27.4%
Win probability
Manthiqueira
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
União Mogi
-35%
-51%
Manthiqueira

ELO progression

União Mogi
Manthiqueira
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

União Mogi
União Mogi
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
24 May. 2025
MAU
Mauaense
3 - 1
União Mogi
UNI
46%
24%
30%
21 23 2 0
10 May. 2025
MFC
Mauá
3 - 3
União Mogi
UNI
47%
26%
28%
21 26 5 0
03 May. 2025
UNI
União Mogi
1 - 1
ECUS
ECU
43%
23%
34%
21 21 0 0
26 Apr. 2025
MAN
Manthiqueira
1 - 0
União Mogi
UNI
37%
24%
39%
22 19 3 -1
19 Apr. 2025
UNI
União Mogi
1 - 1
Mauaense
MAU
40%
25%
36%
22 24 2 0

Matches

Manthiqueira
Manthiqueira
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
24 May. 2025
MAN
Manthiqueira
1 - 3
Mauá
MFC
27%
25%
48%
19 26 7 0
17 May. 2025
MAN
Manthiqueira
0 - 1
ECUS
ECU
39%
23%
39%
19 21 2 0
03 May. 2025
MAU
Mauaense
4 - 0
Manthiqueira
MAN
49%
24%
27%
20 24 4 -1
26 Apr. 2025
MAN
Manthiqueira
1 - 0
União Mogi
UNI
37%
24%
39%
19 22 3 +1
20 Apr. 2025
MFC
Mauá
2 - 1
Manthiqueira
MAN
49%
25%
26%
20 26 6 -1