Paulista B 1ª Fase round 1

União Mogi vs Flamengo SP analysis

União Mogi Flamengo SP
24 ELO 40
-4.7% Tilt -5.6%
10589º General ELO ranking 8050º
429º Country ELO ranking 351º
ELO win probability
18.1%
União Mogi
22.9%
Draw
59%
Flamengo SP

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.1%
Win probability
União Mogi
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.4%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.3%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
59%
Win probability
Flamengo SP
1.8
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
11.1%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.2%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.7%
0-4
3%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
União Mogi
-17%
-14%
Flamengo SP

ELO progression

União Mogi
Flamengo SP
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

União Mogi
União Mogi
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
02 Oct. 2021
FLA
Flamengo SP
1 - 0
União Mogi
UNI
70%
20%
10%
23 42 19 0
29 Sep. 2021
UNI
União Mogi
0 - 0
Flamengo SP
FLA
16%
22%
62%
22 43 21 +1
26 Sep. 2021
UNI
União Mogi
1 - 2
ECUS
ECU
76%
15%
10%
22 11 11 0
22 Sep. 2021
MAN
Manthiqueira
0 - 2
União Mogi
UNI
59%
23%
18%
21 29 8 +1
19 Sep. 2021
UNI
União Mogi
5 - 0
Atlético Mogi
MOG
79%
13%
7%
21 7 14 0

Matches

Flamengo SP
Flamengo SP
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
10 Oct. 2021
FLA
Flamengo SP
0 - 0
Grêmio Prudente
GRE
45%
26%
29%
41 38 3 0
06 Oct. 2021
GRE
Grêmio Prudente
3 - 1
Flamengo SP
FLA
34%
26%
40%
42 36 6 -1
02 Oct. 2021
FLA
Flamengo SP
1 - 0
União Mogi
UNI
70%
20%
10%
42 23 19 0
29 Sep. 2021
UNI
União Mogi
0 - 0
Flamengo SP
FLA
16%
22%
62%
43 22 21 -1
26 Sep. 2021
FLA
Flamengo SP
1 - 0
Colorado Caieiras
COL
71%
18%
12%
43 19 24 0