Paulista B Second Round Round 1

União Mogi vs XV de Novembro analysis

União Mogi XV de Novembro
25 ELO 34
1.6% Tilt -6.7%
12422º General ELO ranking 5759º
465º Country ELO ranking 209º
ELO win probability
23.4%
União Mogi
21.2%
Draw
55.4%
XV de Novembro

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.4%
Win probability
União Mogi
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.5%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13.8%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
55.5%
Win probability
XV de Novembro
2.06
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
16.7%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
9.6%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

União Mogi
XV de Novembro
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

União Mogi
União Mogi
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
09 Jul. 2017
UNI
União Mogi
2 - 1
Real Cubatense
ARC
72%
16%
13%
23 15 8 0
01 Jul. 2017
MOG
Atlético Mogi
0 - 5
União Mogi
UNI
11%
17%
73%
23 10 13 0
25 Jun. 2017
UNI
União Mogi
4 - 0
Mauaense
MAU
20%
21%
60%
20 33 13 +3
11 Jun. 2017
UNI
União Mogi
1 - 1
Jabaquara
JAB
30%
22%
48%
19 25 6 +1
04 Jun. 2017
UNI
União Mogi
1 - 2
Manthiqueira
MAN
22%
20%
58%
20 29 9 -1

Matches

XV de Novembro
XV de Novembro
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
09 Jul. 2017
ECN
XV de Novembro
0 - 1
Taquaritinga
CAT
57%
23%
21%
36 30 6 0
02 Jul. 2017
BFC
Brasilis
1 - 1
XV de Novembro
ECN
16%
19%
65%
36 20 16 0
25 Jun. 2017
ECN
XV de Novembro
4 - 1
Amparo
AMP
75%
15%
10%
36 19 17 0
18 Jun. 2017
FRA
Francana
1 - 0
XV de Novembro
ECN
34%
25%
41%
37 29 8 -1
11 Jun. 2017
JFC
Jaguariúna
1 - 4
XV de Novembro
ECN
9%
16%
75%
37 12 25 0