União Mercês vs Damaiense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
10.5%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.2%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
3%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7.6%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.4%
72.2%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.6%
0-2
12.8%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.5%
0-3
9.7%
1-4
4%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.4%
0-4
5.5%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
7.6%
0-5
2.5%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.3%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+27%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
União Mercês
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
OLI
3 - 1
UME
81%
13%
6%
|
7 | 17 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
UME
2 - 4
ATO
30%
22%
47%
|
9 | 12 | 3 | -2 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
UME
3 - 3
PSA
9%
16%
75%
|
7 | 23 | 16 | +2 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
OLI
2 - 0
UME
83%
12%
5%
|
7 | 18 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
ALG
3 - 2
UME
87%
9%
4%
|
8 | 19 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Damaiense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
DAM
0 - 0
ALG
72%
16%
12%
|
27 | 19 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
MEM
2 - 1
DAM
33%
23%
44%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
ADC
0 - 2
DAM
20%
22%
58%
|
27 | 17 | 10 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
DAM
3 - 0
BOB
53%
22%
26%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
AGU
1 - 1
DAM
12%
18%
70%
|
27 | 11 | 16 | -1 |