União Mercês vs Agualva analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.4%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.3%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.1%
23%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
42%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+27%
+97%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
União Mercês
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
CAR
0 - 4
UME
71%
17%
12%
|
7 | 12 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
UME
0 - 4
DAM
11%
17%
72%
|
7 | 26 | 19 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
OLI
3 - 1
UME
81%
13%
6%
|
7 | 17 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
UME
2 - 4
ATO
30%
22%
47%
|
9 | 12 | 3 | -2 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
UME
3 - 3
PSA
9%
16%
75%
|
7 | 23 | 16 | +2 |
Matches
Agualva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
MEM
0 - 0
AGU
82%
12%
6%
|
12 | 21 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
AGU
3 - 2
ADC
20%
21%
59%
|
12 | 17 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
BOB
3 - 0
AGU
82%
12%
6%
|
12 | 25 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
AGU
1 - 1
OLI
19%
21%
60%
|
11 | 18 | 7 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
CAR
1 - 0
AGU
54%
21%
25%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | -1 |