União Madeira vs Penalva Castelo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.7%
Win probability
2.52
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
4.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.3%
4-0
8.7%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
+4
10.8%
3-0
13.9%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.1%
2-0
16.5%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.5%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
21.8%
12.7%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
12.7%
4.6%
Win probability
0.44
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3.8%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
União Madeira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
PAR
5 - 1
UNM
13%
21%
66%
|
51 | 33 | 18 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
UNM
1 - 0
CIN
78%
15%
7%
|
51 | 37 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2019 |
ESP
2 - 0
UNM
26%
25%
49%
|
52 | 43 | 9 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
UNM
0 - 0
AMA
63%
22%
15%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
LUS
1 - 0
UNM
29%
27%
44%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Penalva Castelo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
PEN
1 - 1
GON
15%
24%
61%
|
24 | 45 | 21 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
GAF
2 - 2
PEN
67%
19%
13%
|
24 | 34 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
PEN
1 - 2
LUS
17%
22%
62%
|
25 | 42 | 17 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
PED
4 - 0
PEN
69%
18%
13%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
PEN
1 - 1
CES
23%
23%
55%
|
25 | 37 | 12 | +1 |