União Madeira vs Penafiel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.2%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.9%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
24.3%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
União Madeira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 1989 |
NAC
0 - 0
UNM
56%
25%
19%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1989 |
UNM
4 - 1
BMA
46%
28%
26%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | +2 |
| 11 Nov. 1989 |
UNM
2 - 0
POR
46%
28%
26%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 1989 |
VIT
3 - 0
UNM
69%
19%
12%
|
60 | 76 | 16 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 1989 |
UNM
1 - 1
VST
41%
29%
30%
|
60 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Penafiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 1989 |
PEN
2 - 1
BOA
23%
33%
43%
|
64 | 79 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 1989 |
TIR
1 - 1
PEN
54%
26%
21%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1989 |
PEN
2 - 0
FEI
39%
31%
31%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 1989 |
SPB
3 - 0
PEN
61%
23%
17%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 1989 |
PEN
0 - 1
MAR
39%
32%
28%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | -1 |