União Madeira vs Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.8%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.2%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.8%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
54.9%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.9%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.4%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
União Madeira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2018 |
POR
2 - 1
UNM
59%
23%
18%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2018 |
UNM
0 - 0
ARO
28%
27%
45%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
OLI
2 - 1
UNM
48%
25%
27%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2018 |
UNM
0 - 4
BEN
48%
25%
27%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2018 |
PEN
2 - 0
UNM
48%
27%
25%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2018 |
NAC
1 - 0
ACA
54%
25%
22%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2018 |
SCP
2 - 3
NAC
28%
24%
48%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2018 |
REA
2 - 4
NAC
20%
24%
56%
|
68 | 55 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
NAC
3 - 0
VAR
66%
21%
13%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 2018 |
COV
1 - 1
NAC
23%
25%
52%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | 0 |