Primeira Liga . Jor. 21

União de Leiria vs Benfica analysis

União de Leiria Benfica
72 ELO 86
-5.1% Tilt -7.7%
2170º General ELO ranking 77º
36º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
21.7%
União de Leiria
25.9%
Draw
52.4%
Benfica

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.7%
Win probability
União de Leiria
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.3%
1-0
8%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.6%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
52.4%
Win probability
Benfica
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
13.8%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.4%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
União de Leiria
+3%
+7%
Benfica

ELO progression

União de Leiria
Benfica
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

União de Leiria
União de Leiria
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
29 Jan. 2006
MAR
Marítimo
3 - 0
União de Leiria
UDL
52%
26%
22%
71 74 3 0
21 Jan. 2006
UDL
União de Leiria
2 - 2
Os Belenenses
BEL
51%
26%
23%
71 69 2 0
14 Jan. 2006
SPB
Sporting Braga
1 - 0
União de Leiria
UDL
57%
24%
19%
72 77 5 -1
09 Jan. 2006
RIO
Rio Ave
1 - 2
União de Leiria
UDL
50%
26%
24%
71 72 1 +1
21 Dec. 2005
UDL
União de Leiria
2 - 1
Naval
NAV
59%
24%
17%
71 63 8 0

Matches

Benfica
Benfica
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
29 Jan. 2006
SLB
Benfica
1 - 3
Sporting CP
SCP
47%
25%
28%
86 84 2 0
20 Jan. 2006
GFC
Gil Vicente
1 - 3
Benfica
SLB
23%
26%
51%
86 69 17 0
15 Jan. 2006
SLB
Benfica
3 - 0
Académica
ACA
73%
18%
9%
86 67 19 0
11 Jan. 2006
TOU
Tourizense
0 - 2
Benfica
SLB
5%
15%
81%
86 35 51 0
08 Jan. 2006
SLB
Benfica
2 - 0
Paços de Ferreira
PAÇ
69%
19%
12%
86 69 17 0
X