União de Leiria vs FC Alverca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.1%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.3%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
22.5%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+64%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
13
1º
3º
1º
7
4º
7º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
13 | 13 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
11 | 11 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
11 | 11 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
|
5º
|
7 | 8 |
4º
|
41% | |
|
4º
|
8 | 8 |
5º
|
79% | |
|
6º
|
6 | 7 |
6º
|
62% | |
|
7º
|
5 | 5 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
3 | 3 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
União de Leiria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
UDL
6 - 1
MON
79%
15%
6%
|
49 | 30 | 19 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
CAL
0 - 3
UDL
25%
25%
50%
|
48 | 40 | 8 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2023 |
UDL
1 - 2
GDF
74%
18%
8%
|
48 | 34 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
SCP
0 - 1
UDL
28%
25%
48%
|
48 | 39 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
UDL
2 - 1
OLI
68%
20%
12%
|
48 | 38 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
FC Alverca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
BEL
1 - 2
ALV
62%
21%
17%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2023 |
ALV
2 - 1
REA
66%
21%
13%
|
45 | 35 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
ACA
1 - 2
ALV
40%
26%
34%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
OLI
1 - 1
ALV
28%
26%
46%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
ALV
2 - 0
VST
52%
24%
24%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | +1 |