União de Coimbra vs FC Alverca II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.6%
3-0
10%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.6%
2-0
14.5%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.8%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.9%
10.1%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-39%
+15%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
38
1º
14º
5º
39
1º
10º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
55 | 55 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
51 | 51 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
50 | 50 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
39 | 39 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
38 | 38 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 37 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 32 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 30 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
25 | 25 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
21 | 21 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
17 | 17 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
União de Coimbra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
COI
1 - 0
USA
62%
23%
16%
|
67 | 54 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
MAR
0 - 1
COI
19%
26%
55%
|
67 | 47 | 20 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
COI
0 - 1
PEN
74%
18%
9%
|
67 | 31 | 36 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
BEN
0 - 0
COI
16%
25%
59%
|
67 | 44 | 23 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2024 |
COI
1 - 0
GOU
73%
18%
9%
|
67 | 36 | 31 | 0 |
Matches
FC Alverca II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
RAB
1 - 1
FCA
52%
23%
25%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
FCA
0 - 1
GDF
46%
22%
32%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
UFT
1 - 0
FCA
45%
22%
33%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
FCA
0 - 1
SER
42%
26%
32%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
FCA
1 - 2
MOR
44%
21%
35%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | -1 |