União Barbarense vs São José analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.9%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.4%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.7%
35.5%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
União Barbarense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2012 |
RIO
2 - 1
UNI
42%
25%
32%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
NOR
2 - 0
UNI
55%
23%
22%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2012 |
UNI
1 - 0
MON
45%
24%
31%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2012 |
FER
1 - 1
UNI
42%
25%
34%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2012 |
AME
1 - 3
UNI
45%
24%
31%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
São José
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2012 |
ATL
1 - 2
SAO
50%
24%
25%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
SAO
2 - 0
UNI
46%
25%
29%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 2012 |
SAO
2 - 1
VEL
43%
25%
33%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
MON
1 - 0
SAO
45%
25%
31%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2012 |
SAO
0 - 1
SAO
59%
22%
19%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | -1 |