Paulista A3 Round 19

União Barbarense vs Marília analysis

União Barbarense Marília
43 ELO 45
0.1% Tilt -8.4%
22497º General ELO ranking 4342º
681º Country ELO ranking 132º
ELO win probability
46.4%
União Barbarense
25%
Draw
28.6%
Marília

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.4%
Win probability
União Barbarense
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
25%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
28.7%
Win probability
Marília
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

União Barbarense
Marília
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

União Barbarense
União Barbarense
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
21 Mar. 2018
ATI
Atibaia
2 - 0
União Barbarense
UNI
60%
23%
17%
44 52 8 0
17 Mar. 2018
UNI
União Barbarense
0 - 4
Capivariano
CAP
22%
23%
55%
44 57 13 0
10 Mar. 2018
UNI
União Barbarense
2 - 3
Desportivo Brasil
DES
32%
26%
42%
45 54 9 -1
07 Mar. 2018
MOG
Mogi Mirim
2 - 1
União Barbarense
UNI
44%
25%
32%
46 41 5 -1
03 Mar. 2018
VEL
Velo Clube
1 - 1
União Barbarense
UNI
48%
26%
26%
46 49 3 0

Matches

Marília
Marília
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
22 Mar. 2018
MAR
Marília
4 - 0
Mogi Mirim
MOG
54%
23%
23%
44 40 4 0
17 Mar. 2018
MAR
Marília
1 - 1
Grêmio Osasco
GRE
41%
25%
34%
44 47 3 0
11 Mar. 2018
MON
Monte Azul
1 - 1
Marília
MAR
58%
23%
19%
44 49 5 0
07 Mar. 2018
BER
EC São Bernardo
1 - 0
Marília
MAR
41%
26%
33%
45 42 3 -1
03 Mar. 2018
MAR
Marília
3 - 0
Rio Branco SP
RIO
46%
25%
30%
43 45 2 +2