UNDEBA vs SUBT analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.5%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.9%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.4%
15%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-36%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UNDEBA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul. 2021 |
VIC
1 - 3
UND
56%
22%
23%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2021 |
UND
0 - 3
INW
40%
22%
38%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | -2 |
| 12 Jul. 2021 |
SVV
1 - 3
UND
45%
23%
32%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | +2 |
| 04 Jul. 2021 |
BAR
2 - 1
UND
65%
18%
18%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Jun. 2021 |
UND
1 - 4
SCH
48%
24%
28%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
SUBT
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul. 2021 |
SCH
1 - 0
SUB
67%
19%
14%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2021 |
SUB
0 - 3
VIC
32%
24%
44%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | -1 |
| 11 Jul. 2021 |
INW
3 - 0
SUB
68%
18%
14%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2021 |
SUB
2 - 0
SVV
35%
23%
42%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Jun. 2021 |
SUB
0 - 1
HOL
31%
23%
46%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | 0 |