UNDEBA vs SUBT analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.4%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.6%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.3%
16.4%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
-36%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UNDEBA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
DOM
1 - 0
UND
56%
22%
22%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2012 |
DOM
3 - 3
UND
56%
22%
22%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
SIT
4 - 1
UND
47%
24%
29%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2012 |
UND
4 - 1
HOL
51%
24%
25%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
UND
2 - 0
BAR
55%
24%
21%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
SUBT
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2012 |
SUB
0 - 6
HOL
41%
26%
33%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2012 |
SIT
4 - 0
SUB
56%
22%
22%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Jul. 2012 |
VIC
5 - 2
SUB
55%
22%
23%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2012 |
SUB
0 - 3
UND
45%
23%
32%
|
29 | 32 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Jul. 2012 |
SUB
1 - 6
DOM
45%
23%
33%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | -1 |