UNDEBA vs SITHOC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.7%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.9%
2-0
7%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.1%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
29.7%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UNDEBA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
UND
1 - 3
VIC
50%
24%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
UND
1 - 2
DOM
46%
24%
31%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
UND
1 - 1
SCH
49%
22%
29%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
UND
3 - 0
COL
50%
23%
27%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2014 |
DOM
2 - 1
UND
55%
22%
23%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
SITHOC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
COL
2 - 1
SIT
46%
24%
31%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
BAR
8 - 0
SIT
51%
23%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
HUB
3 - 1
SIT
51%
22%
27%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
SUB
5 - 0
SIT
44%
24%
32%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
SIT
1 - 1
SVV
50%
25%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |