UNDEBA vs SITHOC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.4%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
27.5%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
-33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UNDEBA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jun. 2014 |
UND
3 - 1
HUB
53%
23%
24%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2014 |
UND
1 - 1
COL
46%
24%
31%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2014 |
UND
0 - 0
VIC
54%
23%
23%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2014 |
SVV
0 - 4
UND
45%
24%
31%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2014 |
BAR
2 - 2
UND
52%
23%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
SITHOC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jun. 2014 |
SIT
2 - 4
DOM
43%
24%
33%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2014 |
SIT
0 - 0
SUB
50%
24%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2014 |
BAR
3 - 1
SIT
52%
23%
25%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2014 |
SIT
1 - 1
HOL
51%
24%
25%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2014 |
SVV
1 - 0
SIT
43%
24%
33%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |