UNAM vs Civics FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.2%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
21.3%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UNAM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
UNA
2 - 0
ORL
57%
23%
20%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
ELE
2 - 0
UNA
46%
26%
29%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
BLU
1 - 0
UNA
46%
26%
29%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
UNA
1 - 2
TIG
51%
23%
26%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
UNA
2 - 1
AFR
57%
23%
20%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Civics FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
TUR
1 - 0
CIV
48%
26%
26%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
CIV
2 - 1
CIT
44%
26%
30%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
CIV
2 - 1
MIG
42%
27%
31%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
FLA
1 - 1
CIV
49%
26%
25%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
BLA
1 - 1
CIV
53%
25%
22%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |