UNA vs OSS '20 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.3%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.7%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.5%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
50.4%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.8%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
15.3%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.1%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UNA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2019 |
UNA
2 - 2
USV
53%
21%
25%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2019 |
WES
1 - 1
UNA
61%
19%
20%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2019 |
UNA
1 - 5
ADO
49%
21%
30%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | -2 |
| 24 Aug. 2019 |
BLA
3 - 0
UNA
47%
23%
30%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2019 |
SPA
3 - 2
UNA
41%
25%
34%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
OSS '20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2019 |
OSS
5 - 0
WES
58%
21%
21%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2019 |
DON
1 - 1
OSS
24%
22%
53%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2019 |
OSS
5 - 0
ADO
81%
13%
6%
|
50 | 34 | 16 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2019 |
GEM
2 - 4
OSS
41%
23%
36%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2019 |
RIJ
0 - 4
OSS
24%
22%
54%
|
47 | 38 | 9 | +2 |