Umuarama vs Iporá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.8%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.6%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.4%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.9%
62.3%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
18.7%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.5%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.6%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Umuarama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jul. 2013 |
GOI
2 - 0
UMU
77%
15%
8%
|
18 | 45 | 27 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2013 |
MOR
3 - 2
UMU
80%
13%
7%
|
18 | 47 | 29 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2013 |
UMU
1 - 1
CNO
16%
20%
64%
|
16 | 43 | 27 | +2 |
| 03 Jul. 2013 |
APA
1 - 0
UMU
45%
23%
32%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2013 |
UMU
1 - 3
APA
59%
21%
21%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | -2 |
Matches
Iporá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jul. 2013 |
IPO
3 - 0
APA
74%
16%
10%
|
38 | 15 | 23 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2013 |
IPO
1 - 2
GOI
35%
25%
41%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 Jul. 2013 |
SAN
3 - 1
IPO
70%
17%
13%
|
40 | 51 | 11 | -1 |
| 05 Jul. 2013 |
IPO
1 - 1
CNO
39%
25%
36%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2013 |
CNO
2 - 0
IPO
45%
24%
31%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | -1 |