Umia vs La Guia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77%
Win probability
2.97
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.7%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.9%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
3.6%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
10.8%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.5%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.2%
13.3%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
13.3%
9.6%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0.1%
-1
6.5%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Umia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2018 |
MAR
1 - 2
UMI
24%
23%
53%
|
13 | 8 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
UMI
5 - 0
ARC
60%
20%
20%
|
12 | 10 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
ERI
1 - 2
UMI
42%
23%
35%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
CAS
3 - 1
UMI
54%
22%
25%
|
12 | 12 | 0 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
UMI
1 - 0
GON
73%
16%
12%
|
12 | 8 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
La Guia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
LGU
1 - 1
CAS
31%
22%
47%
|
9 | 12 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
GON
0 - 2
LGU
45%
21%
34%
|
8 | 7 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
LGU
5 - 1
DOM
39%
22%
40%
|
7 | 8 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
PON
3 - 0
LGU
66%
17%
16%
|
8 | 10 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
LGU
0 - 3
POR
27%
21%
52%
|
9 | 12 | 3 | -1 |